Right now
The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 47 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.
Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.
This alert expired on 14 June 2026 at 09:00 UTC. It is kept here as a record.
No stronger detection stands among the 18 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 June 2026 — 7 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 17 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.
What the source measured
NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued June 13 at 11:57AM CDT until June 17 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL
Urban PEI: 58,619 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.
How we know
One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.
Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100.
This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.
Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.
Event Data
| Type | Severe Weather |
| Severity | Medium |
| Calamity Score (ours) | 39 / 100 |
| Legacy data-support index | 0.82/1 |
| Coordinates | 39.6120, -91.7473 |
| Nearest City | Hannibal (35 km) |
| Urban exposure index (PEI) | 58.6K within 50 km |
| Impact Tier | significant |
| Timestamp | 2026-06-15T18:00:00.000Z |
| Source | https://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ac873bd71355f5fc869e95c0489dc7b5 |
Physical priority index · v1. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.
Source and revision timeline
Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-06-15T18:00:00.000Z.
First archived: 2026-06-13T17:02:34.461Z. Material modification: not recorded.
Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.
Score Breakdown
Technical Details
| Event | Flood Warning |
| Urgency | Expected |
| Certainty | Likely |
| AreaDesc | Marshall, IL; Putnam, IL; Brown, IL; Cass, IL; Morgan, IL; Schuyler, IL; Cass, IL; Fulton, IL; Mason, IL and 47 more areas |
| Headline | Flood Warning issued June 13 at 11:57AM CDT until June 17 at 1:00PM CDT by NWS Lincoln IL |
| Expires | 2026-06-14T04:00:00-05:00 |
| SenderName | NWS Lincoln IL |
| HasExactCoords | true |
| MergedCount | 55 |
| MergedIds | ["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ac873bd71355f5fc869e95c0489dc7b54a33e54a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.37ba40145f8a2f82b709944e4ec76a178e3da17b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.37ba40145f8a2f82b709944e4ec76a178e3da17b.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.37ba40145f8a2f82b709944e4ec76a178e3da17b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.48e6e753928b7b70c4a0c09e12e6934a2bd862c2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.48e6e753928b7b70c4a0c09e12e6934a2bd862c2.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7af2fe8e87e4c4b7ef623cb0cedd3940647ebd6e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.15f8492a52355dbe0986685ac4a1bb6966aa1240.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.28452b3c6d264bc4c8d64ef94b3f4e1ac7ddf14e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.08bc11085d9318c46073c33a4df125769c54ff77.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.1d426633f02c83f893aadf72464a322b57de5f83.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3094e399bfb9df031e1909ca420c6ae82127f82b.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3094e399bfb9df031e1909ca420c6ae82127f82b.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3094e399bfb9df031e1909ca420c6ae82127f82b.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.3094e399bfb9df031e1909ca420c6ae82127f82b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.37dc3efc131d4a22352bb828434f3b1714ef755e.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.945edd359d75ca6891d8d78ea81011a477aed6a4.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.95158730690567f75ee7969f23a2a5da91cddad5.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0ea35a97a3316def9b9b68669a970104a191492.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b0ea35a97a3316def9b9b68669a970104a191492.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.824dc95645b65ef45b58bfe58182965d06876589.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8a774817040276580a190eefc2cd18e7e80c9f39.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8a774817040276580a190eefc2cd18e7e80c9f39.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0aa2adc23657d653aa7509e07119be33ce7bc0b7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.c9f0dbeea74085a71245c64e256b2cca1660f2a7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.159ea8f3340f1c3c8d7aa7ad8a9515258598fac9.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.afd5557f3fcf94ba75451d162c760a6e01b54915.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.afd5557f3fcf94ba75451d162c760a6e01b54915.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.afd5557f3fcf94ba75451d162c760a6e01b54915.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.73ab6e14e027ec25ac3cf21549dc15ccf4a86c27.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0b1ee988c5c1b0bcc0ab64bfe9b25d6a3ff94ec2.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1131c2cae1ed648d378957d22907271e9771983.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1131c2cae1ed648d378957d22907271e9771983.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b1131c2cae1ed648d378957d22907271e9771983.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.641fb53c9fd21ab2dc4754ef8642f4b9a31f8f55.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.641fb53c9fd21ab2dc4754ef8642f4b9a31f8f55.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.641fb53c9fd21ab2dc4754ef8642f4b9a31f8f55.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.641fb53c9fd21ab2dc4754ef8642f4b9a31f8f55.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8db1d2225f7d15ff28b5411c3e3ed50c16c19561.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec53157a99ffd6259c220f24b187de5bec6d6653.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec53157a99ffd6259c220f24b187de5bec6d6653.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ec53157a99ffd6259c220f24b187de5bec6d6653.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.8850de7ae5407356e5a97f31988654d76d0d2ae0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ddd8594e4e5c2bca3af8ea2d19b0b209d7462cb1.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5792a7a73aba85147be0aa3e4ccd63d08f3e7429.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.be0423b917fdacf152175b24076473204df50ad7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2106ba46df40c38e166a2f0256996006d80f083.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2106ba46df40c38e166a2f0256996006d80f083.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2106ba46df40c38e166a2f0256996006d80f083.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2106ba46df40c38e166a2f0256996006d80f083.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.b2106ba46df40c38e166a2f0256996006d80f083.005.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bbab190b25edc1f6265c11fcd83c2b0af9b98861.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bbab190b25edc1f6265c11fcd83c2b0af9b98861.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0104c8c9880941898d05be570c3e9e7978d14a69.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.0104c8c9880941898d05be570c3e9e7978d14a69.001.1"] |
Safety Information
During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.
Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.
This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.
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